Report
Automation Residential Sales 2027
2027
Total Transaction Value
8200
Off-plan
AED 45.2 Bn
6100
Ready
AED 32.4 Bn
14300
Total
AED 77.6 Bn
Year-on-Year Market Evolution: Narrative vs Reality
Dubai Population Growth (2017 – 2026)
Residential Transaction Value (Total Transactions Shown Below)
Dubai Population vs Residential Transactions (2017-2026)
| YEAR | POPULATION | POPULATION Y/Y | NET POPULATION ADDITION | RESIDENTIAL TRANSACTION VALUE (AED BN) | TRANSACTION VALUE Y-O-Y | OFF-PLAN TRANSACTIONS | READY TRANSACTIONS | TOTAL TRANSACTIONS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 3,500,000 | - | 0 | 80.5 | - | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
| 2018 | 3,500,000 | 0% | 0 | 80.5 | 0% | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
| 2019 | 3,500,000 | 0% | 0 | 80.5 | 0% | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
| 2020 | 3,500,000 | 0% | 0 | 80.5 | 0% | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
| 2021 | 3,500,000 | 0% | 0 | 80.5 | 0% | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
| 2022 | 3,500,000 | 0% | 0 | 80.5 | 0% | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
| 2023 | 3,500,000 | 0% | 0 | 80.5 | 0% | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
| 2024 | 3,500,000 | 0% | 0 | 80.5 | 0% | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
| 2025 | 3,500,000 | 0% | 0 | 80.5 | 0% | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
| 2026 | 3,500,000 | 0% | 0 | 80.5 | 0% | 4,200 | 3,100 | 7,300 |
Population support
Key Insight:
Population growth aligned with ready-home absorption.
New supply
Key Insight:
New keys were absorbed by occupiers and landlords.
Top 5 developers share of Dubai residential transaction value (2025)
| DEVELOPER | PRIMARY (AED BN) | SECONDARY - OFF PLAN | SECONDARY - READY (AED BN) | TOTAL TRANSACTION VALUE | % SHARE WITHIN TOP 5 DEVELOPERS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Damac | 12.4 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 17.7 | 100% |
Launch pace
Primary sales clustered around a small number of launch weeks.
Resale liquidity
Secondary ready deals cleared when priced near recent registrations.
Handover risk
Buyers favoured developers with a published construction record.
Ticket size
Average primary tickets stayed above ready resales in the same districts.
2027 Transaction Value:
Apartment vs Villa
Price based segmentation: Apartments
Dubai apartment market 2027 – Segmentation by price
| Segment | Price Range (AED MN) | 2027 Value (AED BN) | Share of 2027 Value (%) | Market Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable | <1M | 8.1 | 13.9% | Entry |
| Mid-Market | 1M – 2M | 14.6 | 25% | Mid-market |
| Upper Mid-Market | 2M – 5M | 18.2 | 31.2% | Upper mid |
| Luxury | 5M – 12M | 11.4 | 19.5% | Prime |
| Ultra-Luxury | >12M | 6.1 | 10.4% | Ultra prime |
Dubai Apartment Market 2027 – Transaction Value by Price Segment
Entry demand
Entry apartments supplied the largest share of ready transaction counts.
Mid-market
Mid-market stock balanced mortgage buyers and cash investors.
Prime
Prime tickets lifted value without lifting the transaction count.
Price based segmentation:
Villas
Dubai villa market 2027 – Segmentation by price
| Segment | Price Range (AED MN) | 2027 Value (AED BN) | Share of 2027 Value (%) | Market Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable & Mid-Market | <1M – 2M | 3.2 | 16.7% | Entry villa |
| Upper Mid-Market | 2M – 5M | 5.4 | 28.1% | Family |
| Luxury | 5M – 12M | 6.1 | 31.8% | Prime villa |
| Ultra-Luxury | >12M | 4.5 | 23.4% | Estate |
Dubai Villa Market 2027 – Transaction Value by Price Segment
Family demand
Villa buyers focused on completed communities with schools nearby.
Key takeaway:
Villa sales stayed selective and concentrated in family communities.
2024 vs 2025
Year-on-Year Comparison (vs 2024)
| Metric | 2024 | 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total transactions | 10 | 11.5 | +15% |
| Total sales value (AED Bn) | 10 | 11.5 | +15% |
| Average price per sqft | 10 | 11.5 | +15% |
| No. of Off-plan transactions | 10 | 11.5 | +15% |
| No. of ready transactions | 10 | 11.5 | +15% |
Value up
Transaction value rose faster than the deal count.
Month on Month trend
Dubai Residential Market: Transactions & Value (Jan–Dec 2027)
Seasonal dip
Summer slowed viewings. Autumn restored ready volume.
Key Inferences & Conclusions
Two channels
Sources: Public government data (Dubai Pulse) & Licensed market data (REIDIN)
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